Published model
Campodarsego
30%
Draw
31%
Clodiense
39%
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Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · 14:30
14:30
Kickoff
Home
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V3 model research
V3 data reliability
Reliability limits confidence when evidence coverage or source integrity is weak.
83/100
High · confidence cap 82
20-match history
95%
Effective history
96%
Core completeness
99%
Freshness
10/10
Market evidence
0/15
Common-opponent evidence
Match context
Recent team performance and league context in one place, using the same data inputs that support Navurex Match Intelligence.
Team data
Latest completed matches · raw recent form
Campodarsego
Last 5
Clodiense
5
Matches played
5
7
Goals scored
6
9
Goals conceded
7
-2
Goal difference
-1
20%
Recent performance
Form and recent completed fixtures for both teams in one place.

Last 20 completed matches
Draw
Clodiense win
V1 vs V2 transparency
V1 is the canonical baseline. Contextual V2 applies venue, recency and opponent-strength signals, then the final model blends the two conservatively.
V1 baseline
Canonical model
Campodarsego
27%
Draw
32%
Clodiense
41%
Raw contextual V2
Before conservative blend
Campodarsego
33%
Draw
31%
Clodiense
36%
Final V2 blend
Published model before live news
Campodarsego
30%
Draw
31%
Clodiense
39%
Campodarsego
+3 pp
Draw
-1 pp
Clodiense
-2 pp
Context evidence
53 → 59
61 → 61
Venue samples
5 / 5
Opponent coverage
100%
Momentum
Campodarsego
Momentum score
59
Recent results are broadly consistent across the available sample.
Clodiense
Momentum score
100
The most recent results are stronger than the earlier part of the sample.
5/5
Reliability audit
• No bookmaker market is available for independent calibration.
Published model
Campodarsego
30%
Draw
31%
Clodiense
39%
V3 shadow probabilities
V3 evidence confidence 69Campodarsego
28%
Draw
30%
Clodiense
42%
V3 confidence is an evidence score, not the probability that the top pick will win.
Campodarsego
20/20
V3 research coverage
0/100
Fatigue risk
20-match strength
53.7
Recent 5 strength
38.5
Rest days
7.0
14-day fixtures
1
Clodiense
19/20
V3 research coverage
0/100
Fatigue risk
20-match strength
62.6
Recent 5 strength
53.6
Rest days
7.8
14-day fixtures
1
Common opponents
12
Campodarsego -17.0 performance-index edge
Schio
Virtus Bolzano
Legnago Salus
Performance index is a comparative score, not probability points.
League bridge
same league
No cross-league prior is needed for this matchup.
Market consensus
no market data
Win rate
60%
1.40
Average goals
1.20
1.80
Average conceded
1.40
Competition
Current season
Campodarsego
Season
Clodiense
#6
Position
#3
13
Points
16
8
Played
8
4W 1D 3L
Record
5W 1D 2L
+2
Goal difference
+3
62
League strength signal
75

@ Schio
4–1
Away

vs Virtus Bolzano
4–1
Home

@ Clodiense
2–1
Away

@ Mestre
1–1
Away

vs Legnago Salus
0–1
Home

@ LME
1–2
Away

vs Triestina
2–1
Home

@ Cjarlins Muzane
4–1
Away

vs Conegliano
4–0
Home

vs Cjarlins Muzane
4–1
Home

@ Calvi Noale
1–0
Away

@ Adriese
0–1
Away

vs Bassano Virtus
1–0
Home

@ Vigasio
3–0
Away

vs Portogruaro
2–0
Home

@ Mestre
0–1
Away

vs Este
0–1
Home

@ San Luigi
1–2
Away

vs Conegliano
0–2
Home

@ Altavilla
2–2
Away

Last 20 completed matches
Simulation
Scorelines, expected goals and total-goal distributions generated from the Navurex model.
Expected goals
Projected scoring output before kickoff.
Campodarsego
1.47
xG
Clodiense
1.44
xG
Most likely scores
1.46
Campodarsego avg
1.43
Clodiense avg
Total goals distribution
Probability of the combined match score.
5.3%
0
16.2%
1
23.3%
2
22.5%
3
15.8%
4
9.5%
5
7.4%
6+
Strength radar
Five core rating dimensions