Published model
FC Koln W
46%
Draw
37%
Hamburger SV W
17%
Help improve Navurex
Optional first-party analytics help measure match usage, sign-up funnels and product performance. No advertising pixels or profiling. See the Cookie Policy.
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00
12:00
Kickoff
Home
Away
V3 model research
V3 data reliability
Reliability limits confidence when evidence coverage or source integrity is weak.
0/100
Experimental · confidence cap 56
20-match history
0%
Effective history
0%
Core completeness
0%
Freshness
0/10
Market evidence
0/15
Common-opponent evidence
Match context
Recent team performance and league context in one place, using the same data inputs that support Navurex Match Intelligence.
Team data
Latest completed matches · raw recent form
FC Koln W
Unavailable
Hamburger SV W
—
Matches played
—
—
Goals scored
—
—
Goals conceded
—
—
Goal difference
—
Recent performance
Form and recent completed fixtures for both teams in one place.

Last 20 completed matches

Last 20 completed matches
Draw
Hamburger SV W win
Saved V2 transparency
This page is showing the exact stored pre-match prediction. Navurex does not reconstruct missing V2 diagnostics after kickoff, so later match information cannot leak into the historical comparison.
V1 baseline
Saved before kickoff
FC Koln W
45%
Draw
39%
Hamburger SV W
16%
Raw contextual V2
Before conservative blend
FC Koln W
47%
Draw
36%
Hamburger SV W
17%
Saved V2 blend
Before news adjustment
FC Koln W
46%
Draw
37%
Hamburger SV W
17%
Saved final pre-match
Final stored probability
FC Koln W
46%
Draw
37%
Hamburger SV W
17%
Momentum
FC Koln W
Momentum score
50
Not enough completed matches to identify a trend.
Hamburger SV W
Momentum score
50
Not enough completed matches to identify a trend.
0/5
Reliability audit
• Fewer than 12 valid completed matches are available for at least one team.
• Friendlies or low-weight competitions reduce the effective 20-match sample.
• Recent-match history is stale for at least one team.
• No bookmaker market is available for independent calibration.
Published model
FC Koln W
46%
Draw
37%
Hamburger SV W
17%
V3 shadow probabilities
V3 evidence confidence 42FC Koln W
28%
Draw
40%
Hamburger SV W
32%
V3 confidence is an evidence score, not the probability that the top pick will win.
FC Koln W
0/20
V3 research coverage
0/100
Fatigue risk
20-match strength
—
Recent 5 strength
—
Rest days
—
14-day fixtures
0
Hamburger SV W
0/20
V3 research coverage
0/100
Fatigue risk
20-match strength
—
Recent 5 strength
—
Rest days
—
14-day fixtures
0
Common opponents
0
No shared opponent evidence in the 20-match window.
League bridge
same league
No cross-league prior is needed for this matchup.
Market consensus
no market data
—
Win rate
—
—
Average goals
—
—
Average conceded
—
Competition
Current season
FC Koln W
Season
Hamburger SV W
#8
Position
#12
9
Points
5
6
Played
6
3W 0D 3L
Record
1W 2D 3L
+2
Goal difference
+1
—
League strength signal
—
Saved simulation
The simulation details below were stored before kickoff and are not recalculated using information from after the match started.
FC Koln W xG
1.82
Likely score
2–1
Hamburger SV W xG
1.53
Strength radar
Five core rating dimensions