Published model
FC Levante Badalona W
25%
Draw
40%
Granad. Tenerife W
35%
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Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00
12:00
Kickoff
Home
Away
V3 model research
V3 data reliability
Reliability limits confidence when evidence coverage or source integrity is weak.
100/100
Excellent · confidence cap 85
20-match history
100%
Effective history
100%
Core completeness
100%
Freshness
10/10
Market evidence
15/15
Common-opponent evidence
Match context
Recent team performance and league context in one place, using the same data inputs that support Navurex Match Intelligence.
Team data
Latest completed matches · raw recent form
FC Levante Badalona W
Last 5
Granad. Tenerife W
5
Matches played
5
8
Goals scored
6
5
Goals conceded
6
+3
Goal difference
0
40%
Recent performance
Form and recent completed fixtures for both teams in one place.

Last 20 completed matches
Draw
Granad. Tenerife W win
V1 vs V2 transparency
V1 is the canonical baseline. Contextual V2 applies venue, recency and opponent-strength signals, then the final model blends the two conservatively.
V1 baseline
Canonical model
FC Levante Badalona W
28%
Draw
40%
Granad. Tenerife W
32%
Raw contextual V2
Before conservative blend
FC Levante Badalona W
23%
Draw
40%
Granad. Tenerife W
37%
Final V2 blend
Published model before live news
FC Levante Badalona W
25%
Draw
40%
Granad. Tenerife W
35%
FC Levante Badalona W
-3 pp
Draw
0 pp
Granad. Tenerife W
+3 pp
Context evidence
49 → 44
48 → 46
Venue samples
4 / 5
Opponent coverage
100%
Momentum
FC Levante Badalona W
Momentum score
8
The latest results are weaker than the earlier part of the sample.
Granad. Tenerife W
Momentum score
68
The most recent results are stronger than the earlier part of the sample.
5/5
Published model
FC Levante Badalona W
25%
Draw
40%
Granad. Tenerife W
35%
V3 shadow probabilities
V3 evidence confidence 58FC Levante Badalona W
31%
Draw
36%
Granad. Tenerife W
33%
V3 confidence is an evidence score, not the probability that the top pick will win.
FC Levante Badalona W
20/20
V3 research coverage
0/100
Fatigue risk
20-match strength
47.8
Recent 5 strength
59.6
Rest days
14.0
14-day fixtures
1
Granad. Tenerife W
20/20
V3 research coverage
0/100
Fatigue risk
20-match strength
57.6
Recent 5 strength
55.6
Rest days
13.0
14-day fixtures
1
Common opponents
12
FC Levante Badalona W -0.8 performance-index edge
Sevilla W
Real Sociedad W
Granada
Performance index is a comparative score, not probability points.
League bridge
same league
No cross-league prior is needed for this matchup.
Market consensus
44.5 / 27.6 / 27.9
5 bookmakers · Market disagreement 20.5 pp
Market quality High · 1.4 pp dispersion
Market blend enabled · dynamic market weight 34%
William Hill · Bet365 · Marathonbet · Pinnacle · 1xBet
Win rate
40%
1.60
Average goals
1.20
1.00
Average conceded
1.20
Competition
Current season
FC Levante Badalona W
Season
Granad. Tenerife W
#8
Position
#9
8
Points
8
6
Played
6
2W 2D 2L
Record
2W 2D 2L
+1
Goal difference
-5
49
League strength signal
51

@ Sevilla W
3–3
Away

vs Granada
0–1
Home

vs Real Sociedad W
0–0
Home

@ Eibar W
1–4
Away

@ Espanyol W
0–1
Away

@ Athletic Club W
3–1
Away

@ Levante W
0–1
Away

vs Real Madrid W
0–4
Home

@ Espanyol W
1–1
Away

vs Athletic Club W
0–1
Home

vs Atletico Madrid W
2–4
Home

@ Barcelona W
6–0
Away

vs Alhama W
3–2
Home

@ Sevilla W
1–5
Away

vs Granada
0–4
Home

@ Edf Logrono W
2–3
Away

vs Granad. Tenerife W
0–2
Home

@ Real Sociedad W
2–0
Away

vs Eibar W
2–1
Home

@ Madrid CFF W
0–1
Away

Last 20 completed matches
Simulation
Scorelines, expected goals and total-goal distributions generated from the Navurex model.
Expected goals
Projected scoring output before kickoff.
FC Levante Badalona W
1.38
xG
Granad. Tenerife W
1.06
xG
Most likely scores
1.38
FC Levante Badalona W avg
1.07
Granad. Tenerife W avg
Total goals distribution
Probability of the combined match score.
8.7%
0
21%
1
25.9%
2
21.5%
3
12.6%
4
6.4%
5
3.9%
6+
Strength radar
Five core rating dimensions