Published model
Athletic Club W
57%
Draw
33%
Valencia W
10%
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Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 16:30
16:30
Kickoff
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V3 model research
V3 data reliability
Reliability limits confidence when evidence coverage or source integrity is weak.
0/100
Experimental · confidence cap 56
20-match history
0%
Effective history
0%
Core completeness
0%
Freshness
0/10
Market evidence
0/15
Common-opponent evidence
Match context
Recent team performance and league context in one place, using the same data inputs that support Navurex Match Intelligence.
Team data
Latest completed matches · raw recent form
Athletic Club W
Unavailable
Valencia W
—
Matches played
—
—
Goals scored
—
—
Goals conceded
—
—
Goal difference
—
Recent performance
Form and recent completed fixtures for both teams in one place.

Last 20 completed matches

Last 20 completed matches
Draw
Valencia W win
Saved V2 transparency
This page is showing the exact stored pre-match prediction. Navurex does not reconstruct missing V2 diagnostics after kickoff, so later match information cannot leak into the historical comparison.
V1 baseline
Saved before kickoff
Athletic Club W
55%
Draw
35%
Valencia W
10%
Raw contextual V2
Before conservative blend
Athletic Club W
59%
Draw
31%
Valencia W
10%
Saved V2 blend
Before news adjustment
Athletic Club W
57%
Draw
33%
Valencia W
10%
Saved final pre-match
Final stored probability
Athletic Club W
57%
Draw
33%
Valencia W
10%
Momentum
Athletic Club W
Momentum score
50
Not enough completed matches to identify a trend.
Valencia W
Momentum score
50
Not enough completed matches to identify a trend.
0/5
Reliability audit
• Fewer than 12 valid completed matches are available for at least one team.
• Friendlies or low-weight competitions reduce the effective 20-match sample.
• Recent-match history is stale for at least one team.
• No bookmaker market is available for independent calibration.
Published model
Athletic Club W
57%
Draw
33%
Valencia W
10%
V3 shadow probabilities
V3 evidence confidence 42Athletic Club W
28%
Draw
40%
Valencia W
32%
V3 confidence is an evidence score, not the probability that the top pick will win.
Athletic Club W
0/20
V3 research coverage
0/100
Fatigue risk
20-match strength
—
Recent 5 strength
—
Rest days
—
14-day fixtures
0
Valencia W
0/20
V3 research coverage
0/100
Fatigue risk
20-match strength
—
Recent 5 strength
—
Rest days
—
14-day fixtures
0
Common opponents
0
No shared opponent evidence in the 20-match window.
League bridge
same league
No cross-league prior is needed for this matchup.
Market consensus
no market data
—
Win rate
—
—
Average goals
—
—
Average conceded
—
Competition
Pre-season / opening context
Saved simulation
The simulation details below were stored before kickoff and are not recalculated using information from after the match started.
Athletic Club W xG
2.09
Likely score
2–0
Valencia W xG
0.93
Strength radar
Five core rating dimensions